Macedo, J.L., and Santos, J.B. (2007). Predictive Factors of Mortality in Burn Patients. Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo. .
The authors incorporated microbiological and laboratorial test results into their predictions of burn mortality, which had not generally been done with other models to this point in time. They found that advanced age; limited availability of donor sites; and presence of multi-drug resistant bacteria and fungi in wounds were the strongest predictors of mortality.