Interhuman Transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Estimation of Pandemic Risk

The authors calculated the rate of MERS CoV introductions into the population from outbreaks in Jordan and Al Hasa. They modeled two potential scenarios: one where there are many introductions, but only moderate transmissibility, and another with few introductions but higher transmissibility. Their analysis suggested that, at the time of the study, MERS-CoV did not yet have pandemic potential.