Curran, M., Howley, E., and Duggan, J. (2016). An Analytics Framework to Support Surge Capacity Planning for Emerging Epidemics. (Abstract only.) DH '16 Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Digital Health Conference, Pages 151-155.
The authors provide an overview of system dynamic modeling and how it can be used to predict epidemics (when used in conjunction with surveillance systems, sentinel data, and other tools). The authors suggest a way to synthesize the concepts and highlight future work that can help with resource allocation in surge events.